Space Pool

There is a wayward spy sattellite that is hurtling thru space towards earth. An object the size of a school bus free falling 18,000 miles a day. It seems that the earth is 75% water, so there is a 1 in 4 chance that it will slam into land somewhere. Those don't sound like real good odds to me. It makes me wonder if the peeps at NASA have a space pool going. When will it hit and where will it slam into the earth. I guess if you were really morbid you could even put in how many people will it kill if it hits a populated place. Spy Sister any chance we mere mortals can get in on the action?